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Vierde kwartaal Nucor minder sterk dan derde

FONDS KOERS VERSCHIL VERSCHIL % BEURS
Nucor
$ 60,04 1,55 2,65 % NYSE

(ABM FN-Dow Jones) Nucor heeft in het vierde kwartaal van 2018 fors meer winst behaald dan een jaar eerder, maar zag de resultaten wel iets teruglopen ten opzichte van het voorgaande recordkwartaal. Dat bleek dinsdag uit de resultaten van de Amerikaanse staalfabrikant.

De nettowinst in het vierde kwartaal steeg van 384 miljoen naar 647 miljoen dollar. Het bedrag van 677 miljoen dollar uit het voorgaande kwartaal werd niet geëvenaard, door "typische seizoenseffecten", meldde het staalconcern.

De kwartaalomzet van 6,3 miljard dollar was 21 procent hoger dan een jaar eerder, maar 7 procent lager dan in het derde kwartaal.

De nettowinst over het jaar 2018 kwam uit op 2,36 miljard dollar, tegen 1,32 miljard in het voorgaande jaar.

"We boekten in 2018 een recordwinst per aandeel en verscheepten een recordhoeveelheid staal", aldus topman John Ferriola. "De resultaten laten zien dat de gedisciplineerde strategie van Nucor om te investeren voor winstgevende groei werkt."

Outlook

Nucor verwacht "opnieuw een sterk jaar" en een eerste kwartaal met "sterke winst", ondanks lagere prijzen en marges op staalplaten dan in het voorgaande kwartaal. Ook de grondstoffentak zal naar verwachting minder goed presteren dan in het afgelopen kwartaal, door dalende verkoopprijzen voor grondstoffen. De staalproducten zullen vergelijkbaar winstgevend zijn als in het vierde kwartaal, verwacht Nucor. Het bedrijf benadrukt dat de verwachte winst in het eerste kwartaal veel beter zal zijn dan in het eerste kwartaal van 2018.

Door: ABM Financial News.
info@abmfn.nl
Redactie: +31(0)20 26 28 999

© Copyright ABM Financial News B.V. All rights reserved.
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Baotou Steel forecasts drastic profit growth

China Org reported that Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union Co., a major steel producer, forecast that its net profits will jump 45.46 percent year on year in 2018. According to a statement the company filed with the Shanghai Stock Exchange, net profits are expected to hit around CNY 3 billion, up from CNY 937 million from the previous year.

According to the statement, In 2018, the company increased steel exports to countries and regions along the Belt and Road and made great efforts to develop high value-added products such as rare-earth steel, which accounted for its hefty profit margins.

Source : China Org
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MMK Coal Q4 production update

1. Coking coal production in Q4 2018 decreased by 18.8% q-o-q and amounted to 1,228 thousand tonnes. This decrease was due to maintenance works at Chertinskaya-Koksovaya mine and shifting commissioning date for one of the longwalls due to complex geological conditions.

2. Coal concentrate production in Q4 2018 declined 3.4% q-o-q due to processing high-ash coal from the Kostromovskaya mine.

3. In FY 2018, coking coal production increased by 36.3% y-o-y to 4,927 thousand tonnes. This growth was due to the capacity increases at Kostromovskaya and Chertinskaya-Koksovaya mines.

4. Higher coal production allowed the company to cut coal purchases from the third parties by more than two-fold, which contributed to lower cash cost of own coal concentrate production.

Source : Strategic Research Institute
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GMS Market Commentary on Shipbreaking in Bangladesh in Week 04 - SUSTAINING…BUT FOR HOW LONG?

As the one subcontinent recycling destination that has managed to stay comparatively steady, expectedly and invariably, much (if not all of) the attention of Ship Owners and Cash Buyers has gravitated towards Bangladesh as several sales (of containers, capes, Aframax tankers and other smaller LDT vessels) have reportedly taken place to the few end Buyers who remain available.

On the sales front, having previously failed to Cash Buyers, two cement carriers from Taiwanese owners were re-sold this week as the KEN HO (5,835 LDT) and SHINE HO (5,248 LDT) were committed on an en bloc basis at a decent USD 350/LT LDT, basis an ‘as is’ Kaohsiung delivery, with much of the cement discharging equipment removed prior take over.

But local activity was not restricted to SNP as Chittagong anchorage was a madhouse this week, with 25 ships, over a quarter of a million LDT at anchorage, and 18 beachings reported this week (See Chittagong Port Position on Page 8).

As local yards continue to fill up by the week, available yard space is increasingly at a premium and it is only a matter of time until demand starts to diminish and Bangladeshi levels eventually start to decline.

As such, it remains to be seen just how long Bangladesh can sustain its performance as the top placed market before units start getting diverted towards India / Pakistan and Cash Buyers with expensive inventories start to take even greater losses on their pending (expensive) resales.

Source : Strategic Research Institute
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India formulating draft national scrap policy - Steel Minister

PTI reported that the Indian government is formulating a draft National Scrap Policy. Union Steel Minister Chaudhary Birender Singh said “Currently, the country's requirement of scrap is around 8.3 million tonne and a large portion of the requirement is met through imports. A National Scrap Policy is being drafted which will be ready in a few months. This will make available nearly 7 million tonne scrap in the country. Steel produced out of scrap is of good quality and is environment friendly.”

The government is also planning to set up scrap-based steel plants in north and west parts of India to augment the country's production capacity, Singh had earlier said.

Stressing that the scrap-based steel plants are environment-friendly, energy-efficient and cost effective, he said these plants would be on the lines of 'melt and manufacture' steel technology used in the US. He told "I would like you to deliberate on the cost-benefit analysis of setting up scrap-based steel plants in north and west India. These regions are important from the perspective of scrap-availability and steel import hubs. The plants will have the capability to produce special high-grade steels, a pre-requisite for 'Make in Steel'.”

Source : PTI
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Al Gioshy Steel plans to float 40pct of its share in Q4 2019

Amwalal Ghad reported that Al Gioshy Steel plans to float 40 percent of its share in the Egyptian bourse during the fourth quarter of 2019. Mr Tarek AlGioshy CEO told Amwal Al Ghad that his company hired of the investments banks operating in Egypt to conduct the financial and technical studies necessary of the IPO.

He added that the main objective of the floating is to provide new funds in order to maximize the company’s industrial capabilities and expand in the implementation of some new investment projects within the domestic market during the coming period.

Al Gioshy Steel seeks to increase the volume of its investments to 800 million pounds by the end of the current year through a new production line.

Source : Amwalal Ghad
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GMS Market Commentary on Shipbreaking in Turkey in Week 04 - REPRISAL?

This week, aside from the fact that local steel plate prices, the Turkish Lira (which has been bouncing around the TRY 5.3X mark against the US Dollar) and local offerings, all maintained a degree of stability, a strange reprisal of sorts has been in the making in Aliaga. Reportedly (and similar to what Bangladeshi Buyers have been known to do in the past), Aliaga Recyclers decided they were no longer going to be held hostage by the power of local steel plate prices, which have been dictating local offerings and controlling the volume of domestic vessel purchases.

Accordingly, Turkish Recyclers have reportedly started curtailing the sale of ships steel to domestic steel mills, in effect, creating an artificial shortage to the already diminished output of steel (given the marginal volume of vessel purchases over much of 2018). While this action has not immediately affected local steel plate prices this week, the lack of steel sales has been unmistakable and if the historic impact of such an action in Bangladesh is any reminder, it is expected that Turkish levels should climb in the coming weeks.

If this does come to fruition, Turkey many just get the much-needed adrenaline shot in the arm it has been missing so terribly over the last few quarters and Aliaga may jump back into the limelight, especially if prices for ships make a noteworthy jump.

As such, the next few weeks certainly seem like they will bring an interesting (and much- needed) change to the Turkish market.

Source : Strategic Research Institute
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AISI update on Raw Steel Production in US in Week 04

In the week ending on January 26, 2019, domestic raw steel production was 1,922,000 net tons while the capability utilization rate was 81.1 percent. Production was 1,715,000 net tons in the week ending January 26, 2018 while the capability utilization then was 73.6 percent. The current week production represents a 12.1 percent increase from the same period in the previous year. Production for the week ending January 26, 2019 is up 0.5 percent from the previous week ending January 19, 2019 when production was 1,912,000 net tons and the rate of capability utilization was 80.7 percent.

Adjusted year-to-date production through January 26, 2019 was 7,065,000 net tons, at a capability utilization rate of 80.3 percent. That is up 10.9 percent from the 6,371,000 net tons during the same period last year, when the capability utilization rate was 73.6 percent.

Broken down by districts, here's production for the week ending January 26, 2019 in thousands of net tons: North East: 224; Great Lakes: 724; Midwest: 205; Southern: 691 and Western: 78 for a total of 1922.

Source : Strategic Research Institute
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Sichuan Liuhe orders die forging press from SMS GROUP

Sichuan Liuhe Forging Co Ltd, based in Jiangyou in the province of Sichuan, China, has placed an order with SMS group to supply a high-speed, 50/55 MN open-die forging press. The press is of the two-column, push-down design and features a table shifter and die shifting unit. The open-die forging press operates with a press force of up to 50 MN and a maximum upsetting force of 55 MN. The press is suited for forging high-quality products with finished dimensions within the close tolerance range of ± 1 millimeters.

Sichuan Liuhe Forging is a specialist manufacturer of forged semi-finished products, reinforcing rings, shafts, parts for turbine blades, and supercritical components for gas turbines made of high-temperature, corrosion-resistant special steel and superalloys. The new press allows Sichuan Liuhe Forging to continue to offer a consistently high level of product quality to its customers in the aerospace industry and to operators of large-scale steam turbines.

Mr Hong Yuchun, Vice-General Manager of Sichuan Liuhe Forging said that “With this investment in the open-die forging press, developed and built by SMS group in Germany, we are raising our quality standards to an even higher level. We are also pleased that the enhanced press control system will mean lower production costs for us.”

The order also includes an XFB (X-Forging Box) 650/50 MN, which is a newly developed radial forging tool for open-die forging presses. The XFB transforms the movement of the top tool in the open-die forging press into a radial movement of the four tools in the X-Forging Box. At the same time, the maximum permissible force of 50 MN is evenly distributed among the four tools. The maximum initial pass section is 650 millimeters. The X-Forging Box is capable of forging a wide range of high-quality round products with variable cross-sections. The use of the XFB enables Liuhe Forging to expand its product mix and quickly change between different types of products; no modifications to the tool chamber or to the hydraulic-electrical connections are required to install an XFB.

Commissioning of the 50/55 MN open-die forging press and 650/50 MN X-Forging Box is scheduled for Q4 2019.

Source : Strategic Research Institute
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Steel Ministry to set up Safety Directorate

Ministry of Steel, Government of India, held its Parliamentary Consultative Committee meeting in Goa today chaired by the Minister of Steel, Chaudhary Birender Singh. The issues discussed at the meeting were mining activities of CPSEs under Steel ministry and safety in Steel Plants. At the end of the Parliamentary Consultative Committee meeting, the Steel Minister addressed media persons and emphasized the importance of safety in the production of iron and steel which is a complex and hazardous activity. The Minister said that recognising the need to prevent injuries and accidents and provide a healthy working environment and also guard against all possible hazards and risks, it has been decided to set up a Safety Directorate which will become operational soon. This directorate will oversee the safety standards in the steel industry. Steel Minister said both its CPSEs, Steel Authority of India Limited and RashtriyaIspat Nigam Limited (RINL), have comprehensive safety policies.

On the issue of mining, Steel Minister said that by 2020, large number of the mining leases will expire, which the Ministry has taken cognizance of and is taking measures to tackle it. Apart from this issue, the mining activity of Orissa Minerals Development Company Limited (OMDC), a CPSE of Steel Ministry, is shut since some years and efforts are also on to make OMDC mine operational.

Source : Strategic Research Institute
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Country Wise crude steel output in 2018 - worldsteel

Zie pdf bijlage voor cijfers

The 2018 figures in this press release are preliminary and are subject to change.
Production figures for some countries, including Germany, Russia and Iran, are worldsteel estimates.
For antitrust reasons worldsteel no longer produces a global capacity utilisation ratio. Information on capacity can be found on the OECD website.
In a recent update CISA has increased its 2017 crude steel production figure from 831.7 Mt to 870.9 Mt.

Source : Strategic Research Institute
Bijlage:
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MMK Steel segment (Turkey) Q4 production update

1. Sales of finished products in Q4 2018 totalled 202 thousand tonnes (up 47.0% q-o-q). This growth was due to the company’s ability to redirect shipments from the domestic to international markets.

2. Sales of finished products in FY 2018 decreased by 17.1% y-o-y, mainly due to external headwinds and the challenging economic situation in Turkey. Due to the sharp devaluation of the Turkish lira, customers’ financial solvency significantly deteriorated, and demand and prices for metal on the domestic market dropped to the 18 months lowest.

3. The company partly offset lower domestic demand by increasing export sales to Europe and North Africa.

Source : Strategic Research Institute
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JSW Steel and Duferco may ink steel pre-payment deal - Report

Reuters, citing sources familiar with the matter, reported that JSW Steel and Duferco are in advanced talks on a five year cash for steel prepayment deal. Two sources said the deal, expected to be signed this quarter, would be worth about USD 600 million. Switzerland-based Duferco, backed by banks, would provide the cash to be repaid with physical steel. A USD 600 million dollar deal would equate to about 1 million tonnes of steel supply.

JSW and Duferco had a prepayment deal in 2006 for USD 150 million in upfront cash that would be repaid over seven years with steel cargoes, but the scale of the proposed new deal is much larger.

Source : Reuters
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Nashik based industries seeks policy to control steel prices

ToI reported that Nashik based industries want the Union government to come out with a policy that controls steel prices. The expectations of local industries were expressed ahead of the interim union budget to be presented on February 1. Mr Varun Talwar, president, Ambad Industries & Manufacturers’ Association, said “Steel is the major raw material for the industries based in Nashik. Steel prices have increased up to 26% in the past eight months. This has affected the growth of automobile and electrical sectors. The rise in steel prices has led to rise in prices of finished products too.
Hence, there is a need to take measures in this connection so that the steel prices will get stabilised. The union government is presenting interim budget on Feb 1. We want government to come out with a policy to bring steel prices under control.”

Industries in Nashik are based on automobile, engineering and electrical sectors. There are mother industries from these sectors in Nashik; there is also a vendor base in micro, small and medium enterprises (MSMEs) that is affected by the price of steel.

Source : ToI
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MMK Group highlights by key segments

1. Pig iron output in FY 2018 decreased by 3.0% y-o-y. This was due to the scheduled maintenance work at blast furnace No. 1 and large volume of minor maintenance works at other blast furnaces over 2018.

2. Steel output in Q4 2018 declined by 7.8% q-o-q due to lower capacity utilisation of electric-arc furnaces amid scheduled maintenance works and higher scrap prices.

3. Despite lower steel production in FY 2018 (down 1.5% y-o-y), shipments of finished products for the same period grew 0.7% y-o-y owing to decreasing warehouse stocks of finished products.

4. Sales of finished products in Q4 2018 declined 6.5% q-o-q to 2,812 thousand tonnes. This decline was mainly due to the seasonal weakness of business activity on the domestic market.

5. In Q4 2018 domestic shipments declined by 6.5% q-o-q due to seasonally weak demand. However, in FY 2018, domestic shipments grew 5.9% year-on-year to 9,029 thousand tonnes, while the share of domestic sales exceeded 79%, compared to 75% in 2017.

6. In Q4 2018, shipments of long products decreased by 12.1% q-o-q to 423 thousand tonnes. This decline was due to seasonally weak domestic demand for construction products. However, in FY 2018, overall shipments of long products grew 0.5% y-o-y, owing to both the continued increase in demand for steel on the Russian market and higher sales volumes at the metalware branch of MMK Group.

7. Shipments of hot-rolled products in Q4 2018 declined 7.5% q-o-q. This decline was mainly due to lower shipments to pipe manufactures and correction of prices for hot-rolled steel on export markets.

8. The decrease in shipments of hot-rolled products in FY 2018 by 3.0% y-o-y was due to higher sales of HVA products.

9. Shipments of HVA products in FY 2018 increased 5.7% y-o-y and totalled 4,380 thousand tonnes. This growth was mainly due to the new hot-dip galvanising line reaching full capacity, higher sales of cold- rolled products to the Lysvensky Metallurgical Plant, and higher sales of other downstream products on the domestic market.

10. The increase in shipments of cold-rolled products in FY 2018 by 8.5% y-o-y, or by 112 thousand tonnes, was mainly due to higher shipments of semi-finished rolled stocks to the Lysvensky Metallurgical Plant.

11. In Q4 2018, shipments of Mill 5000 products were nearly flat q-o-q with capacity utilisation of 100%. In FY 2018, thick plate shipments slightly grew y-o-y.

12. Despite seasonally weak demand for construction products, galvanised steel shipments in Q4 2018 remained flat q-o-q and totalled 315 thousand tonnes. In FY 2018, the Company shipped 1,269 thousand tonnes of galvanised steel, up 12.0% y-o-y. This significant growth was due to the new hot- dip galvanising line reaching full capacity, which amid stable demand from the construction industry allowed the Company to continue substituting imports of this product. In FY 2018, the Company also increased shipments to carmakers.

13. Lower shipments of polymer-coated metal in FY 2018 were due to both higher sales of galvanised steel and changes in the reporting of product sales by Lysvensky Metallurgical Plant following its acquisition in late 2017.

14. Sales of formed section in FY 2018 grew 35.7% y-o-y due to consistently high demand from railcar manufacturers.

15. The average sales price in US dollars in Q4 2018 decreased by 5.1% q-o-q to USD 579 per tonne. This decrease was due to the correction in global steel prices and devaluation of the rouble vs the dollar during the quarter.

16. In FY 2018, the average sales price for the Company’s products grew 8.0% y-o-y to USD 621 per tonne.

Source : Strategic Research Institute
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GMS Market Commentary on Shipbreaking in Pakistan in Week 04 - STILL STILL!

This week’s announcement of another mini budget brought with it, very few material changes to the Pakistani ship recycling and steel sectors. Nonetheless, this was simply not enough to boost market pricing and local sentiments. Local plots have remained virtually empty since the ban on tankers was lifted in the middle of last year. However, given the lack of demand and ongoing weakened offerings have resulted in a Gadani anchorage that has been suffering several weeks of a barren waterfront and this week was no exception. Unfortunately, for a greater part of the last 4 - 5 weeks, other than a couple of small LDT tugs, no new vessels have arrived locally (See Port Position Page 7).

Despite the market being nervy (having been rocked by the political upheaval of the elections and shocking currency depreciation at the end of last year), it is hoped that the Pakistani market does turn around in the next few weeks (months?), as local Recyclers become increasingly desperate to fill their plots and Bangladeshi yards gradually run out of space.

Source : Strategic Research Institute
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T S Global Holdings inks agreements with HBIS Group in NatSteel and Tata Steel (Thailand)

TS Global Holdings Pte Ltd has executed definitive agreements with HBIS Group Co Ltd controlled entity to divest its entire equity stake in NatSteel Holdings Pte Ltd and Tata Steel (Thailand) Public Company Ltd. As per the agreement, the divestment will be made to a company in which 70% equity shares will be held by an entity controlled by HBIS and 30% will be held by TSGH. The agreements were signed in Beijing, China. Mr TV Narendran, CEO & Managing Director, Tata Steel said that "Tata Steel Group and HBIS Group have been in discussions in relation to the future of the South-East Asia business. The definitive agreement signed today between the two companies is a significant milestone in our strategic relationship, offering the SEA business robust growth opportunities, given the access to resources, technical expertise and regional understanding of HBIS. Tata Steel remains committed through its shareholding to help create a sustainable future for all stakeholders".

The details of divestment are as follows:, zie bijlage.

Source : Strategic Research Institute
Bijlage:
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POSCO becomes first in steel industry to obtain EPD certification

Korea Herald reported that POSCO has become the first company in the domestic steel industry to obtain Environmental Product Declaration certification from the Ministry of Environment. Five products from Posco -- plates, wire rods, plated steel sheets, giga steel (980DP), and high corrosion-resistant steel plates have all gained certification for seven environmental indicators, including carbon footprint, resource footprint, ozone layer influence, acid rain, eutrophication, photochemical smog, and water footprint.

According to Posco, there is an overall shift in demand for eco-friendly products in the steel construction materials market. When a building is evaluated for the Green Standard for Energy and Environmental Design, benefits are given to those constructed with EDP-certified materials.

This certification highlights the competitiveness of eco-friendly products in the Life Cycle Assessment, which is a method of analyzing raw materials’ impact on the environment in stages ranging from raw material procurement to production, sales, distribution, and recycling.

By acquiring this certification, Posco said that “We hope to enhance our image as an eco-friendly steel company as well as strengthen our products’ competitiveness in sustainability and eco-friendliness in the steel market.”

Source : Korea Herald
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MMK Lysvensky Metallurgical Plant Q4 production update

1. Sales of finished products in Q4 2018 amounted to 55 thousand tonnes, down 30.3% q-o-q. This decline was mainly due to the seasonal decrease in demand for construction metal.

2. Sales of finished products in FY 2018 grew by 139 thousand tonnes, or 125.7% y-o-y. This significant growth was mainly due to the low base effect in FY 2017, which in turn was related to a shortage of working capital. Capacity utilisation rates and sales in 2018 have stabilised, as the plant became part of MMK Group.

Source : Strategic Research Institute
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Global crude steel output increases by 4.6pct in 2018 - worldsteel

Global crude steel production reached 1,808.6 million tonnes for the year 2018, up by 4.6% compared to 2017. Crude steel production increased in all regions in 2018 except in the EU, which saw a 0.3% contraction.

Region Wise

Zie bijlage voor cijfers.

Source : Strategic Research Institute
Bijlage:
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