EU Total imports in Q3 - EUROFER
Total imports – including semi-finished products – rose by 5% year-on-year over the first eleven months of 2018. When SURV2 data for December are taken into account, finished product imports rose by 12% over the whole year 2018, due to a 33% year-on-year increase in long product imports and a 6% rise of flat product imports. After a temporary moderation in August and September, finished product imports reached a post crisis peak of 2.8 million tonnes per month in October before tapering off again in November and December.
Imports by country of origin
Over the first eleven months of 2018, the main countries of origin for finished steel imports into the EU market remained Turkey, Russia, South Korea, India and China. These five countries represented 65% of total finished steel imports into the EU.
Imports from Turkey and Russia remained on a strongly rising trend over this period.
Imports from Turkey rose by 65% year-on-year, driven by a 57% increase in flat product imports and an 80% rise in long product imports. Imports from Russia rose by 53% year-on-year, owing to a 69% rise in flat products and a 29% increase in long product imports.
Imports from South Korea increased by 9% year-on-year over the first eleven months of 2018, as a result of 7% year-on-year rise in flat products imports and a 59% increase in long product imports.
Meanwhile, imports from China fell by 18% year-on-year and those from India by 26% year-on-year over this period, following sharp increases in imports in 2017.
Other Asian countries that stepped up their exports of finished products to the EU in 2018 were predominantly Vietnam with a 63% rise and Taiwan with a 42% increase.
Imports by product category
Total imports of flat products grew by 6% in 2018; import volumes were slightly lower in the second half compared with volumes in the first half of 2018 when third country exporters were pushing extra volumes to the EU market in anticipation of safeguard measures to be announced by the European Commission. Nevertheless, import volumes of flat products in the third and fourth quarter were up 12% and 19% respectively on the same quarter of 2017.
Hot-rolled wide strip and tin mill product imports registered in 2018 the strongest rise (by 18% and 17% respectively) compared with the volumes that were shipped to the EU market in 2017. Imports of quarto plate and organic coated sheets registered a mild decline compared with 2017.
The rise in long product imports was much more pronounced in 2018. Having grown by 50% over the first half of 2018, the year-on-year rise was 20% in the third quarter and 17% in the final quarter despite monthly volumes in the second half being slightly lower than in the first half. The rise in total long imports was 33% in 2018.
With a growth rate of 58%, imports of heavy sections registered the strongest increase in 2018, followed by rebars with 51%. The increase in wire rod (20%) and merchant bar imports (36%) was slightly less pronounced.
Source : Strategic Research Institute